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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 15th, 2016–Jan 16th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Not a lot of change out there these days. It feels like a waiting game for the next storm. Hopefully it will be sooner rather than later.

Confidence

High

Weather Forecast

Moderate winds with steady temperatures overnight. The expected overnight low is -15 in the alpine. Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy with occasional flurries blowing through. Alpine temperatures will hit -9 °C. Winds will taper throughout the day with an average of 15km/hr at 2500m. SW direction.

Avalanche Summary

1 loose dry was noted today on Tent ridge. Visibility was poor, but it seemed to start near the ridge and propagate for most of the path. Small slabs were undercut as it went, adding to the mass. Sz2, E aspect and ran to top of the runout.

Snowpack Summary

Today was another day of little overall change. Below treeline has 70-80 cm's of facets that offer little support to a person's weight. Treeline is better with a midpack that still has some structure and support to it. Deeper snow pack areas have a stronger midpack. The alpine has had some light flurries blow through, but not a significant source of load. The winds today were slightly less powerful than yesterday and as such, have kept the windslab problem flat lined.

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.