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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 10th, 2017–Apr 11th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Little Yoho.

Excellent spring skiing continues with new snow in the forecast for Tuesday. Keep in mind that it is still possible to trigger the deep persistent facets in steep terrain, especially from thin areas or with large triggers such as cornices.

Weather Forecast

Unsettled spring weather could bring as much as 10-15cm of new snow on Tuesday with light SE winds and temperatures remaining cool. Freezing levels are forecast to stay below 1800m. A slight clearing trend and continued cool temperatures is forecast for Wednesday with a few more flurries.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 30cm of snow has fallen in the last several days above 2000m. At lower elevations the snowpack is moist on solar aspects while the upper elevation snow remains cold. There is still some uncertainty surrounding the weaker basal facets in thin snowpack areas of the Little Yoho region with occasional sudden collapse test results in the facets.

Avalanche Summary

A few loose moist avalanches up to size 1.5 were observed out of steep solar alpine terrain on Monday near Lake Louise. Explosive control produced a couple size 1.5-2 slab avalanches in the recent storm snow with minimal propagation. Ski areas reported being able to ski cut small wind slabs from the recent snow up to size 1 that were running far.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Tuesday

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.