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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 14th, 2015–Jan 15th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Little Yoho.

Enjoy the nice weather, but be cautious of the persistent weak layer that is still at the prime depth for human triggering

Weather Forecast

A weak system will bring light snow starting Thurs PM. We should see 5-10 cm's by Friday night with a clearing trend for Saturday. With this system, we will also see strong alpine winds from the west. Temperatures will cool over the period but remain -5/-10 range at valley bottom.

Snowpack Summary

Snowpack observations at 2200m on Mt. Field on Monday and Emerald Lake slide path on Tues indicate the Dec 18 surface hoar layer down 45cm remains prominent with moderate test results. This layer remains prime for human triggering. Sun crust forming on steep solar aspects and new surface hoar forming in sheltered areas.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed or reported today.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Thursday

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.