Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 6th, 2015–Feb 7th, 2015

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

New snow, warm temps and rapid loading due to wind is triggerring a natural avalanche cycle.  Rain fell up to 2000m so some snowpack areas below this elevation may be rain saturated.

Confidence

Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Saturday

Weather Forecast

Another 10-15cm of snow is forecast to fall overnight before the storm tapers off.  Freezing levels are expected to drop to 1600m overnight and be around 1800m on Saturday.  Winds will increase at higher elevations to strong out of the SW.

Avalanche Summary

Visibility was limited throughout the day on Friday but a few new slides were observed and reported into the forecasting office.  Of note was a sz 2.5 Na in the Buller Mountain control zone.  This run was skied a few days ago and today slid to ground down 1.5m in some places.  This was on a NE aspect at 2200m in 30-40deg terrain and 70m wide.

Snowpack Summary

Warm temperatures, new snow and moderate to strong SW winds have created widespread storm slabs at Alpine and treeline elevations.  These slabs are failing within the recent storm snow and down 40cm on the 0131 crust.  The freezing level on friday hovered around 2000m.  In a few locations were have seen the 0106 basal crust wake up with the new load creating larger avalanches.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.