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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 15th, 2012–Feb 16th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Surface hoar, facets and suncrusts are slowly being buried by light snowfalls over the past few days. Isolated pockets of slabs should be expected in wind affected areas.

Confidence

Good - -1

Weather Forecast

Strong SW flow will continue into tomorrow for dying off later in the day on Thursday. We may see a few isolated flurries throughout the day on Thursday, but total amounts are not expected to be significant.

Avalanche Summary

Minimal observations. No new natural avalanche activity noted.

Snowpack Summary

Minimal observations due to rescue training in the Eastern part of Kananaskis. Moderate SW flow noted in the bow region and suspect that the soft slabs that were 30-50cm thick are continuing to develop throuhgout the forecast area on lee aspects. This new snow is overlying a variety of different layers of interest from Sun crusts on solar aspects, to widespread surface hoar on other aspects. These crusts will become more reactive as they continue to take more load.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.