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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 5th, 2013–Jan 6th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

An end to this drought is in site for Tuesday!  Lots of people out ice climbing on Saturday as the skiing is getting rather grim in many places.   

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

The skies will get increasingly cloudy throughout the evening on Saturday as the ridge of high pressure begins to slide off to the east.  Temperature will become more seasonal and there is a chance of some trace precip over the next few days.  The next system that is expected to bring some more moderate snowfall is forecast to cross over the region on Tuesday but the winds accompaying this system are forecast to be intense.

Avalanche Summary

Field teams were in the Ghost regions and the Bow Valley regions ice climbing.  A few loose avalanches were observed on steep solar aspects, likely related to the daytime warming.

Snowpack Summary

LIttle change.  Surface hoar continues to grow under the influence of the cold clear nights.  Warm temps at upper elevations making a thin temperature crust on steep solar aspects.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.