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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 6th, 2014–Feb 7th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Despite the lack of natural activity, the deep basal weakness is still a concern on northerly alpine features.  The probability of triggering a slide is low but the consequences remain high

Confidence

Good - The weather pattern is stable

Weather Forecast

Still no new precipitation in the foreseeable future.  Skies will be mainly clear with slowly rising temperatures and winds.  Daytime highs will be in the -15 degree range with overnight lows continuing to drop below -20 deg C.

Avalanche Summary

No new observed or reported.

Snowpack Summary

No change - surface facetting taking place.  Sun crusts are still present at all elevations on solar exposed aspects.  Terrain in the alpine and treeline elevation zones are highly variable with tregards to snowcover and conditon but wind slabs definitely dominate the landscape.  The deep basal weaknesses remain in place!

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.