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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 8th, 2015–Apr 9th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Glacier.

We are in for a few more beautiful spring days. Keep in mind that conditions and hazard will vary throughout the day with aspect and elevation; warm temps and strong solar are the big factors. Be increasingly cautious as things warm up.

Weather Forecast

Warm sunny days followed by cool crisp nights are putting us into a melt freeze cycle. Today expect lots of sun with alpine tempsĀ  of 0'C, freezing levels rising to 2000m and light winds. Overnight temps should drop to -10'C. Thursday temps will reach 2'C with freezing levels to 2100m. On Friday a front will bring wet flurries and gusting SW winds.

Snowpack Summary

Melt freeze cycle below 2300m is forming a strong 20cm thick crust. In the top meter of the snowpack there are multiple crusts that are reactive to tests but would likely need a large trigger. Dry snow can still be found above 2300m on shaded aspects. Isolated pockets of reactive windslab exist at ridgecrest.

Avalanche Summary

On Monday there was a skier triggered avalanche at the top of the Forever Young couloir. A thin windslab was triggered at the top resulting in a size 2.0 that ran 400m. Yesterday there were a few natural solar triggered loose wet avalanches to size 2.5. Cornice failures have also been triggering slabs in isolated locations to size 2.0

Confidence

Problems

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.