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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 4th, 2013–Jan 5th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Glacier.

Light snow overnight has covered a variety of surfaces.  Watch for buried crusts on solar aspects.  Conditions in the upper 30 cm make for fast sluffing in steep terrain.

Weather Forecast

Westerly flow will bring cloudy skies and light snow today.  Expect ridge top winds W/NW 20-40 (km/h) and alpine temperature around -6.  Light snow is forecast for Saturday and Sunday with accumulations less then 10 cm.

Snowpack Summary

Strong solar rad has produced breakable sfc Cr mainly on steep solar aspects above 1700m.  Some easterly slopes are also effected. Yesterday we observed SH on the sfc up to 2150 m, the largest at the top of the VF ~1600 m (sz 10-20mm).  Cold temps and below ave HS have produced more faceting in the snowpack then normal, especially in the top 30 cm. 

Avalanche Summary

Recent natural avalanche activity observed along the highway corridor has been confined to steep unskiable terrain. Small, loose avalanches triggered by solar radiation have been observed from steep solar aspects.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.