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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 9th, 2018–Feb 10th, 2018

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

This weekend limit your exposure to avalanche terrain.  Recent snow has overloaded the snowpack triggering large avalanches.  Special Public Avalanche warning is in effect.  Click Here

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

No new snow is expected over the next 24hrs but we are expecting the winds to increase out of the NW into the moderate range.  Temperatures will be a bit more seasonal with -12c.  Already solar radiation is starting to play a role in terms of stability. Avoid being under steep solar aspects as conditions warm up.

Avalanche Summary

This was our first good day to look around and we saw widespread avalanche activity up to sz 3.5 on all aspects and at all elevations.  When the sun did come out, solar aspects became more reactive and natural avalanche activity was observed later in the day in these areas.  A popular run know as "Purple Bowl"  what we call the Dog Leg Slide path released size 3 taking out all previous tracks and running full path to its historic run outs.  Many fracture lines at treeline were also observed down 1m likely failing on the Jan 6th SH layers. 

Snowpack Summary

Solar radiation played a big role on friday as the sun is beginning to have enough punch to begin to make the snow moist on steep solar aspects later in the day.  The solar input triggerred rapid settlement and avalanche activity up to sz 3 on solar aspects.  We are still dealing with a complex, reactive snowpack at this time.  Wind slabs in the upper snowpack as well as the deep persistent problems are our major concerns at this time.  The recent snow is overloading the myriad of weak layers that we currently have within the snowpack and causing widespread large destructive avalanches.  Many of the weak layers are 100-150cm deep so evaluating them in field tests is challenging.  This weekend will be a good time to stay out of avalanche terrain and minimize your exposure to overhead hazards. 

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.