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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 21st, 2013–Jan 22nd, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Purcells.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Monday night and Tuesday: Another day with the upper ridge pattern. Few high clouds with valley clouds above the main valleys, strong Westerlies becoming moderate, the inversion will start to erode and freezing levels also starting to drop. Wednesday: A system coming from the Pacific will begin to affect the region in the afternoon bringing light precipitation, cooler temperatures and lowering freezing level to the surface, with moderate SW winds.Thursday: Lingering precipitation from the system with moderate to strong W winds. Temperatures staying cool.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous loose snow avalanches size 1 were reported on steep solar aspects in the Bugaboos area.

Snowpack Summary

A variety of surfaces await the next snowfall; windslabs in the alpine, facets and surface hoar in localised areas and a suncrust on South facing slopes. The windslabs in the alpine and at treeline are settling and slowly breaking down due to surface facetting. The surface hoar layer below the 40-60 cm of generally well settled snow is still a concern to professionals, especially below 1900 m. in sheltered-shady areas and on S aspects . It still produces sudden planar shears in those areas as well as some resistant planars.  A strong mid-pack overlies a weak facet/crust layer near the base of the snowpack, which is now considered inactive.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.