Avalanche forecast

West Slopes North

Northwest Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Sun
Alpine
4 · High
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate
Out of date — this forecast expired 5 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Updated 0715 AM to High in Above Treeline  Snowfall amounts overproduced Friday night and large avalanches are very likely to be human triggered on Christmas Day. Have fun and be safe out there!

Touchy avalanche conditions were present on Friday. Several natural and human-triggered avalanches were reported, mostly running in the top 5-10 inches, and with more snow through Saturday expect the problem to continue. As you enjoy your holiday weekend, steer clear of large slopes greater than 35 degrees or ones that end in terrain traps while this sensitive snowpack stabilizes.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Winds are redistributing the low-density surface snow into shallow, reactive slabs. Several backcountry users discovered this on Friday. According to one backcountry user,  the Baker backcountry “was a ‘war zone’ with human triggers”.  Due to the shallow or more predictable nature of many of these avalanches, backcountry users were able to avoid getting hurt or killed. We may have just been lucky.

    It’s important to consider the consequences if the avalanche becomes larger, takes you through trees, off a cliff, or deposits you in a gully. More snow overnight and through the day Saturday could change the problem and make avalanches larger, more stubborn, or less predictable. Additionally, the possibility of wind slabs failing as deep as the Solstice Crust buried more than 2 feet below the surface is not out of the question. 

    Cooler temperatures and light winds could mean that this low-density snow will pose more of a challenge for identifying wind slabs. Your usual clues such as textured snow or pillows, or seeing shooting cracks may not be as obvious. Checking the snow surface layers with hand pits and digging down to the solstice crust and completing stability tests are your best way to identify the problem. Use small test slopes to see how reactive the snow is. We’ve received over two feet of snow in the last 4 days and we saw recent avalanches (bulls-eye clues). Unless you’re well trained and absolutely certain about a steep slope you’re heading out on, stick to terrain less than 35 degrees.

    (12/24/2021)

    A small natural wind slab avalanche which occurred in this gully feature of the Baker backcountry near the bottom of Mt Herman. See how the slab breaks as it rolls over into the gully. 

    Photo: Jason Speer - Baker Mtn Guides

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Storm slab avalanches in non wind-loaded terrain are possible on Friday. This is especially the case in areas where the snow is not well bonded to the Solstice Crust. Dig down and investigate the new snow layer and how well it is bonded to the solstice crust to determine the possibility of triggering a storm slab avalanche. Use small test slopes before you expose yourself to large steep slopes.

    Dry loose avalanches (sluffs) could be triggered by you on a steep slope. You would find these in non wind-affected areas. They will probably remain shallow, but stay alert for them if you venture onto steep terrain. 

Avalanche Discussion

Snow's really stacking up out there! It's time to start thinking about tree well immersions, or snow immersion suffocation (SIS). Check out the video in the media gallery to learn how to avoid this problem becoming a fatal one.  Over two feet of snow fell throughout the West North Zone since Dec 21. Friday night we'll probably break the 100-inch mark on the Heather Meadows total snow height. 

Looking ahead, clouds may break on Monday and temperatures will plummet, remaining frigid for a few days. The holiday weekend is a great time to get out and enjoy all our new cold, dry snow, but stay aware of avalanche hazards while you’re out there. Make it a priority to finish your weekend healthy and unscathed by avalanches. Have a happy Holiday weekend from the team at NWAC!

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