Avalanche forecast

Purcells

Feb 23 – 24, 2013Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 14 years ago

Avalanche danger

Mon
Tue
Alpine
4 · High
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Significant snowpack and weather variations exist throughout the region. Be aware of conditions that are specific to your area and make observations continuously as you travel.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    2–6
    Loading from new snow and wind will continue to add reactivity to persistent buried surface hoar layers. In deeper snowfall areas, resulting avalanches may be surprisingly large.
  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely - Very Likely
    Size
    1–5
    The timing and snowfall amounts for a storm forecast for Sunday are uncertain. Where higher accumulations exist, continued storm slab activity will be very likely, especially in wind-affected areas.

Confidence

Poor - Due to variable weather conditions

Weather Forecast

Sunday: Light to locally heavy snowfall developing late in the day and continuing overnight / Moderate to strong west winds / Freezing level at 900mMonday: Light snowfall / Light northwest winds / Freezing level at 1100mTuesday: Mix of sun and cloud / Light southwest winds / Freezing level at 1000m

Avalanche Summary

We have had no new avalanche reports from the region.

Snowpack Summary

Light to locally heavy amounts of new snow have fallen. The new snow has been redistributed into deeper wind slabs by locally strong winds, particularly on the west side of the region where accumulations have been highest. These new accumulations are adding load to the weak February 12th and 15th surface hoar layers which now exist up to 80cm below the surface. The slab may also be reactive on southerly aspects where buried sun crusts exist. A surface hoar layer buried on February 23 is still on the radar of some operators. This layer has been less likely to trigger by skiers, but may still be sensitive to large loads like avalanches in motion or cornice fall. The mid and lower snowpack are generally well settled and strong.

Regions covered