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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 27th, 2014–Mar 28th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Northwest Inland.

Confidence

Fair - Wind effect is extremely variable

Weather Forecast

Overnight and Friday: Overcast and cool overnight with freezing levels dropping down to valley bottoms. Continued strong Easterly outflow winds during the day with freezing levels rising to 500 metres.Saturday: Cool and overcast with a chance of flurries and freezing levels rising to 700 metres. Outflow winds are expected to continue from the East.Sunday: Chance of broken skies and periods of sun with a weak Northwest flow. Freezing levels rising to about 600 metres.

Avalanche Summary

No new reports of avalanches.

Snowpack Summary

The recent storm snow (40-50 cm) has been transported into pockets of wind slab by moderate Southwest winds in the South of the region and by Easterly winds in the North of the region. The storm slab is sitting on the March persistent weak layer of crusts/facets/surface hoar that is widespread across the region. A late January/early February crust/facet/surface hoar combo is still showing up in snowpack tests with moderate to hard shear test results. This layer is expected to be with us for a long time, and a slide triggered on this layer could be very large and destructive.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.