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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 20th, 2017–Mar 21st, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

South Coast.

Uncertainty exists with the freezing level in the coming days. Expect to see rain to mountain top except in the highest reaches of the south coast region.

Confidence

Moderate - Freezing levels are uncertain on Wednesday

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY: Rain, accumulation 25mm / Light to moderate southeast wind / Alpine temperature 6 / Freezing level 2100m WEDNESDAY: Periods of snow or rain, accumulation 23cm / Light to moderate south wind / Alpine temperature 3 / Freezing level 1500mTHURSDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Light to moderate southeast wind / Alpine temperature 3 / Freezing level 1300m

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanches have been reported in the region. Expect  thin loose wet avalanches in the alpine and tree line elevation bands in the coming days.

Snowpack Summary

Last weekend's storm delivered 20-30 cm of wet snow in alpine terrain and rain elsewhere. The wet snow has frozen and stabilized the snowpack in all but the highest terrain where isolated storm and or wind slabs may sit above a rain crust. High freezing level and continued precipitation over the coming days will start to break down the recent crust formation.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.