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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 20th, 2013–Dec 21st, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Cariboos.

Confidence

Fair - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Synopsis: The pattern remains firmly NW and as a result the coast mountains get the bulk of the action but there should still be a little precip left over for Cariboo for the period. Freezing levels should climb to 1200m by Monday.Saturday: Freezing Level: Valley Bottom; Precip: Nil Wind: Lht NWSunday: Freezing Level: Valley Bottom Precip: 2/4mm 4/8cm Wind: Light gusting strong S Snow picking up in intensity Sunday evening into Monday.Sunday evening: Precip: 8/10mm 16/20cmMonday: Freezing Level: 1200m Precip: Nil Wind: Mod gusting Strong, W

Avalanche Summary

A few natural size 2 avalanches were observed Friday on a north facing slope with a shallow snowpack.

Snowpack Summary

Snowpack depths vary widely with reports of up to 180cm at tree line in some parts of the region. The upper snowpack contains storm snow, wind slabs, surface hoar, and facets. Previously warm temps and as much as 70cm of new snow have combined to form a cohesive slab on top of the surface hoar and facets. It's difficult to determine if the slab is currently reactive to light triggers like skiers and sledders. Deeper in the mid-pack a couple of persistent weak layers (surface hoar and facets) can be found that formed in mid and late November. Near the base of the snowpack an early season rain crust exists.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.