Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 8th, 2014–Mar 11th, 2014

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Waterton Lakes.

An avalanche cycle is occurring. Heating in the form of sun on Saturday and Rain on Sunday may cause additional large and destructive avalanches. Travel is not recommended.

Weather Forecast

Warm temperatures are the main concern for the next few days. Some solar heating should be expected Saturday with freezing levels near 1800m. A warm wet system will reach the area in the evening. Up to 30mm of Precip is expected with freezing levels around 2000m. These heat inputs will affect surface snow and weaken both slabs and cornices.

Snowpack Summary

Warm conditions persist and maintain moist snow below 1800m. Suncrusts have formed on solar aspects. Storms slabs up to 50 cm thick have formed with W winds and warm temps. 70 to 170cm now buries the weak February facet layer and large avalanches have resulted when this layer is triggered demonstrating the ability of these slabs to propagate.

Avalanche Summary

Wind and warm temps caused a cornice failure that triggered a deep slab in the Alpine that ran to valley bottom. Moist snow at low elevations failed as slabs both on storm interfaces and the persistent layer with avalanches running near the bottom of their run outs. Loose wet events have occurred with warm temps BTL and on solar aspects.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.