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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 12th, 2018–Apr 13th, 2018

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast.

Heavy precipitation is on the way Friday. The question is at what elevation will it fall as snow with a potentially high freezing level? This will be accompanied by strong south winds.

Confidence

Moderate - Freezing levels are uncertain on Friday

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY: Rain or wet snow, accumulation 25-35cm / Strong south wind / Alpine temperature 3 / Freezing level 1700 m SATURDAY: Rain or wet snow, accumulation 20-30cm mostly overnight Friday into Saturday / Strong south wind / Alpine temperature 2 / Freezing level 1300 m SUNDAY: Wet flurries / Light west wind / Alpine temperature 2 / Freezing level 1300m

Avalanche Summary

We have received very little information on avalanche activity for this region. From the little we have heard, there were no new avalanches to report from Wednesday. Forecast heavy precipitation should mean that the likelihood of triggering avalanches is on the rise at upper elevations.We would very much appreciate it if you spend a moment to submit any observations you have to the Mountain Information Network here, even if it is just a photo. Thanks!

Snowpack Summary

Heavy precipitation is forecast Friday. If it falls as snow at upper elevations, it will build reactive storm slabs which sit over a predominant thick crust. It is difficult to predict where and when rain will switch to snow, but expect the transition to happen as you approach mountain top.Below tree line, a spring snowpack exists. Rain has saturated upper snowpack. Forecast rain will continue this trend.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.