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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 25th, 2013–Nov 26th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

This bulletin was created using very limited field data. Significant variation in snowpack structure is likely to exist across the region. If you are out in the mountains, please send your observations to [email protected]

Confidence

Poor - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

A ridge of high pressure will continue to dominate Tuesday and Wednesday resulting in dry conditions, light alpine winds, and mostly sunny skies. The ridge will weaken on Thursday resulting in increased cloud cover and alpine wind. A temperature inversion currently exists over most of the Kootenay-Boundary region with a layer of warm air sitting at mountain-top elevation. This inversion should break down on Thursday.

Avalanche Summary

We have received limited reports of pin-wheeling and small loose snow avalanches releasing on steep, sunny aspects during afternoon warming. If you've been out in the mountains and observed recent avalanche activity, please report it to [email protected]

Snowpack Summary

Snow depth is typically 80-110cm at treeline although observations are limited and this amount may vary across the region. Roughly 60 to 70cm of well settled storm snow is now sitting on the October crust located just above the ground. Little is known about the reactivity of this crust; however, limited reports suggest that the crust interface is well bondedThe current temperature inversion is causing the snow surface to melt in the alpine. Sun exposed slopes are undergoing daily melt-freeze cycles. A surface crust is also being reported below 1700m. Large SH is forming on all aspects but is melting on south aspects during the daytime warming. If you are traveling in the mountains, now is a good time to make note of these surface conditions which may become persistent weak layers once buried by new snow.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.