Avalanche forecast

Soldier & Wood River Valley Mtns

Sawtooth Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Wed
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 2 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Avalanches are most likely in areas where the wind has formed drifts or stiffened the snow surface. Triggering avalanches in areas that appear to be sheltered from the wind is not out of the question. You could trigger slides remotely—from flat terrain below, above, and to the sides of steep slopes.

Saturday, snowmobilers triggered a large avalanche from below in the Salmon River headwaters. One rider was caught, carried, fully buried, and successfully recovered. Read the Forecast Discussion for preliminary details. 

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–3

    What and where is it: You are most likely to trigger a large, thick, 2-5 foot thick avalanche in terrain where the wind frequently blows, and the snowpack depth is variable. These wind-affected slopes are mostly found at upper elevations near ridgelines and prominent terrain features exposed to the wind. Triggering an avalanche is much less likely—but not out of the question—on steep slopes that appear to be completely sheltered from the wind. The slabs rest above a variety of weak layers (facets, surface hoar, crusts, and combinations) on most slopes.

    How can you recognize it: Watch for cornices, snow pillows, dunes, and ripples (photo). Feel for stiff snow under your feet or sled. These are signs the wind has been at work transporting snow. The slab above buried weak layers is not uniformly thick, and you may find a shallow spot, making it easier for you to impact them. Rocks sticking out of the snowpack are clues to indicate a relatively shallow snowpack.

    How can you manage it: Before triggering an avalanche, you may or may not experience obvious signs of instability like snowpack cracking (photo) and collapsing or whumpfing. Avoid obvious wind-loaded slopes and terrain that is peppered with rocks sticking out of the snow. Persistent Slabs can release in surprising ways, break wider than expected, and release above or hundreds of feet away from where they are triggered. We can't assume tracks on a slope mean it is safe; several people could descend a slope before triggering an avalanche. Remotely triggering an avalanche from flat terrain near steep slopes is a possibility. Pay attention to how steep the terrain above you is. 

    (12/31/2024) Explosives-triggered slab avalanche on a NE-ESE facing bowl @ 8,400'. The avalanche broke ~300' wide and 2-3' deep.  Shoulder of Peak 2 in the Soldier Mtns. 

    Photo: Sawtooth Avalanche Center

Avalanche Discussion

Without new snow or recent wind-loading, the chances of triggering an avalanche are decreasing. Many signs point to stability (no cracking or collapsing, and "OK" snowpack test results). However, the consequences of triggering an avalanche could be disastrous. However, recent activity has us cautious about committing to steep terrain, particularly on NW-N-NE-E-SE-facing slopes above 8,500 feet.

  • On Sunday, a group in the Frenchman Ck drainage reported remotely triggering an avalanche (2-3 feet thick, near 9000' on a NW-W aspect) while skiing in safe, gentle terrain nearby. The slide appeared to release in a wind-affected clearing a couple hundred feet below a lightly corniced, treed ridgeline. 
  • On Saturday, Jan 4th,  snowmobilers in the Salmon River headwaters remotely-triggered a very large avalanche from several hundred feet below where the avalanche originated. The resulting slide caught, carried, and fully buried one of the riders. The rider deployed his airbag and was carried through trees. The other riders located the buried rider and extricated him from the debris in approximately 15 minutes. He was alert when he was evacuated to a local hospital for evaluation. The avalanche occurred on a NE aspect near 9500’ in elevation, was about 900 feet wide, and averaged 4 feet thick. 

These conditions can feel frustrating at times, and the only way to truly minimize risk is to avoid avalanche terrain entirely. If you choose to enter avalanche terrain, you can stack the odds in your favor by avoiding areas with wind-affected snow and terrain peppered with rocks.

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