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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 10th, 2015–Mar 11th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Northwest Coastal.

Heavy snowfall and high winds are driving the hazard at this time, conservative terrain choices are important during this storm cycle

Confidence

Fair - Due to the number and quality of field observations

Weather Forecast

A Pacific low will deliver another round of moderate snowfall beginning Wednesday and continuing into next weekend. Strong southwesterly winds will accompany the incoming precipitation . Freezing levels will stay around the 1500M mark , but drop to around 500m on Wednesday, then rise again to 1500m for the rest of the storm cycle.

Avalanche Summary

There has been little avalanche activity reported given the amount of new snow from the last storm. Size 1 skier triggered wind slabs have been reported in high elevation lee terrain. Incoming precipitation will change things up and may spark another round of natural storm slab activity.

Snowpack Summary

The previous storm accompanied by strong southwest winds built dense slabs on exposed lee features. Incoming precipitation will add additional load to the storm slab. Below this there are a variety of interfaces including old hard wind slabs, hard crusts, surface hoar, and/or surface facets. Reports suggest a reasonable bonds at these interfaces, although we remain cautious of steeper, high-consequence slopes, as a release on these recently buried surfaces could be large and destructive .At the base of the snowpack, weak facets may be found, particularly on shallow alpine slopes in the north of the region. Cornices are becoming large and potentially unstable.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.