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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 16th, 2019–Mar 17th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Solar radiation is forecast to be strong on Sunday.  Solar aspects will see stability decrease as temperatures warm up.  Pay close attention to temps and aspect as you travel. 

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

No new snow is forecast overnight and freezing levels are supposed to be around 2300m.  The sun is forecast to come out tomorrow with less clouds forecast so be thinking about what aspect you are on related to the time of day.  Done be on solar aspects later in the day as stability will be getting worse due to heat in these areas.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity was observed observed over the past 24hrs except for isolated loose dry slides from steep unskiable terrain.  Clouds kept the temperature cool and loose wet slides were not a major issue.

Snowpack Summary

Freezing levels on Saturday climbed up to 2200m with isolated moist snow in areas below this elevation.  The previous warm temps have created widespread temperature crusts on solar aspects up to 3000m. Windslabs from the moderate SW winds on Friday are evident in alpine terrain up to 20cm thick. These slabs are overlying the previous facetted surface and if they initiate, they are quick to entrain the weak lower snowpack and run far. Watch for these wind slabs overlying this weak facetted base and also be aware of awakening the lower down basal facets from a thin weak area.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.