Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 25th, 2017 4:06PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada shorton, Avalanche Canada

Light flurries the next few days with greater accumulations in the south part of the region. Watch for shallow snowpack areas where triggering persistent slab avalanches remains possible.

Summary

Confidence

High - The weather pattern is stable

Weather Forecast

SUNDAY: Flurries with 4-8 cm of new snow and possibly greater accumulations in the south part of the region, light variable winds, alpine temperatures around -15 C.MONDAY: Continued light flurries with another 3-5 cm of new snow, light southwest winds, alpine temperatures around -15 C.TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light west winds with moderate gusts, alpine temperatures around -15 C.

Avalanche Summary

On Friday, several skier triggered size 1-1.5 slabs were reported on steep convex alpine features (30 cm deep). Several large natural persistent slab avalanches have been reported on the western slopes of the Purcells, including a cornice triggered size 3.5 avalanche on the November crust and two size 2.5 avalanches the February 3rd surface hoar. Several large skier triggered avalanches were reported last week, including a remotely triggered size 2 wind slab near Kimberly, a skier-triggered size 2.5 persistent slab near Golden, and a remotely-triggered size 3 persistent slab near Golden. See here for a MIN report from one of the large avalanches near Golden.

Snowpack Summary

Light flurries over the past few days delivered 10-25 cm of low density snow. Expect to find isolated pockets with thicker wind deposits at higher elevations and sun crusts forming on south-facing slopes. The recent snow has buried the mid-February interface, which is composed of a thick rain crust up to about 2000 m, sun crusts on steep solar aspects, and spotty surface hoar on shaded aspects. Several deeper weak layers remain a concern including the February 3rd interface (50-80 cm deep) in the southern Purcells and the mid-January interface in the northern Purcells (about 100 cm deep). Basal facets may still be a reactive in shallow rocky start zones.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
Several persistent weak layers buried 50-100 cm deep remain a concern (surface hoar, facets, and crusts). Slopes with thin or variable snowpack are the most suspect trigger points.
Avoid lingering in runout zones.Avoid steep convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of deeply buried weak layers.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Watch for wind slabs in the immediate lee of ridges and crossloaded alpine terrain.
Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.Use caution above cliffs where small avalanches may have severe consequences.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Feb 26th, 2017 2:00PM