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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 17th, 2018–Jan 18th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Glacier.

Conservative terrain choices are still required given current conditions.

Weather Forecast

Cloudy with sunny periods and a trace of snow and an alpine high of -2C today. Tonight through Thursday the forecast calls for upwards of 30cm of storm snow with gusty moderate to strong SW winds and alpine temperatures of -3C.

Snowpack Summary

10cm storm snow overnight with mod-strong S'ly winds have formed new thin storm slab on alpine and treeline lee features. This adds load to the previous storm slab over persistent weak layer condition that formed over the last 10 days. The Jan 4th, Dec 15 surface hoar layers are down ~60cm and ~90cm. Both layers are producing sudden planar results.

Avalanche Summary

Limited natural avalanche activity through the highway corridor and no new slides reported or observed in the back country yesterday.

Confidence

Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Thursday

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.