Avalanche forecast

Lizard-Flathead

Dec 10 – 11, 2023Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 3 years ago

Avalanche danger

Tue
Wed
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Watch for freshly formed wind slabs in lee terrain features at upper elevations.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2

    As the wind picks up, recent snow will be redistributed into soft, fresh wind slabs. These are most likely found at upper elevations, in leeward terrain features such as ridgecrests and roll-overs.

Avalanche Summary

A widespread natural avalanche cycle was observed during the storm towards the end of the week, producing loose wet and storm slab avalanches. On Friday, explosive control work near Fernie produced storm slab avalanches, size 1.5-2.

Confidence

Moderate

Snowpack Summary

30-50 cm of recent snow seems to be bonding well to a hard melt-freeze crust. When the wind picks up, this snow is available for transport and may be redistributed into wind slabs.

Beneath the upper crust, the remainder of the rain-moistened snowpack is slowly refreezing into a solid block.

Snowpack depths are approximately 60 to 120 cm at treeline, tapering rapidly with elevation.

Weather Summary

Saturday night

Cloudy with 2-5 cm of new snow. Moderate southwest wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy with up to 5 cm of snow. Moderate southwest wind, treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level rising to 1500 m.

Monday

Up to 5 cm of snow then clearing. Light northeast wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level dropping to valley bottom.

Tuesday

A mix of sun and cloud. Light southwest wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid freshly wind loaded terrain features.
  • Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
  • Early season avalanches at any elevation have the potential to be particularly dangerous due to obstacles that are exposed or just below the surface.

Regions covered