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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 28th, 2020–Mar 29th, 2020

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Sea To Sky.

New snow and strong winds are creating dangerous avalanche conditions. This is the final forecast for the season.

Confidence

Low - Uncertainty is due to limitations in the field data.

Weather Forecast

Saturday night: Cloudy, 10-20 cm of new snow, strong southwest wind, freezing level dropping to 1000 m in the afternoon, alpine temperatures reach -4 C.

Sunday: Cloudy, 5-15 cm of new snow, moderate southwest wind, freezing level near 1000 m, alpine temperatures reach -6 C.

Monday: Cloudy, 20-30 cm of new snow, strong southwest wind, freezing level climbing to 1000 m in the afternoon, alpine temperatures reach -4 C.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, 5-15 cm of new snow, light southwest wind, freezing level climbing to 1000 m in the afternoon, alpine temperatures reach -4 C.

Avalanche Summary

Slab avalanches are a concern on slopes with accumulations of new snow, especially in wind-loaded terrain. Mountain travel and field observations over the past week have been very limited. Little is known about recent avalanche activity. 

Snowpack Summary

New snow and strong southwest wind are building widespread, reactive storm slabs and creating dangerous avalanche conditions. 

Incremental snowfall over the past week covers a variety of previous snow surfaces including crusts, warm snow, and wind-affected snow. There is some uncertainty about how well the new snow will bond to these interfaces. 

The snowpack is generally strong and settled, with the exception of some areas in the eastern and northern parts of the region that have weak faceted snow near the base of the snowpack. However, this layer is considered dormant and has not produced an avalanche since February 20.

Terrain and Travel

  • Storm snow and wind is forming touchy slabs. Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.