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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 16th, 2020–Dec 17th, 2020

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Traces of snow and wind will encourage new wind slab development in the alpine predominately but, possible in open and exposed treeline features.

Forecast looking promising for a snowy refresh through the region this weekend

Weather Forecast

Cloudy with scattered flurries over the next 48hrs with up to 6cm before Friday. Alpine temperatures, Low -11 C, High -8 C with gusty SW winds.

Snowpack Summary

Strong winds are creating wind slabs in the alpine and open treeline. The snowpack is generally supportive despite having a weaker, deep persistent base. Average depth is 55cm - 150cm depending on region and elevation.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanche observations from the field team in the Icefields

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.