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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 26th, 2025–Mar 27th, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Vancouver Island, East Island, North Island, South Island, West Island.

Reactive wind slabs may build through the day on north through east aspects at upper elevations.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Evidence of a widespread avalanche cycle up to size 3 was reported today. The cycle happened early this week.

New snow and wind on Thursday will likely build isolated, yet reactive wind slabs at upper elevations. Dry loose sluffing may exist in steep terrain features.

Snowpack Summary

A rain-saturated upper snowpack exists to mountaintop. As freezing levels fall Thursday, a widespread crust will form at upper elevations, and lower elevations may continue to be wet with rain. New snow accompanied by strong south wind will likely build wind slabs at upper elevations. Expect deeper and more reactive deposits on north—and east-facing slopes.

A robust crust, formed in early March, can be found in the mid-pack. The snow above is well bonded to this crust.

Below this, the snowpack is well consolidated and strong.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Cloudy with up to 10 to 25 mm mostly falling as rain. 40 to 75 km/h south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2500 m and dropping to 1000 m by 4 am.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy with 5 to 15 mm falling as snow above 1000 m. 40 to 60 km/h south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 1100 m.

Friday

Mostly cloudy with 15 to 30 mm falling as snow above 1000 m. 50 km/h south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature 2 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.

Saturday

Cloudy with 5 to 10 mm falling as snow above 1000 m. 20 to 40 km/h south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature 2 °C.

Freezing level 1000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation, aspect, and exposure to wind.
  • Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.