Avalanche forecast

Vancouver Island

Mar 3 – 4, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Thu
Fri
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low
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Highlights

Treat the danger as CONSIDERABLE if you are seeing more than 15 cm of new snow.

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–1.5

    Where heavy rain saturates the upper snowpack, wet loose avalanches may occur in steep terrain.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2

    New snow and wind will build fresh storm slabs at upper elevations. Expect deeper deposits in wind-loaded terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain due to a limited number of field observations.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported. Observations have been limited with no field team in the area last week.

If you head out, please consider posting your observations to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

Light to heavy mixed precipitation will impact the snow surface on Tuesday, with the snowline hovering near treeline.

50 to 70 cm of snow may be overlying a layer of surface hoar in sheltered areas at and below tree line. There is uncertainty with its distribution and reactivity at this time.

The remaining snowpack has no other layers of concern.

Snowpack depths at treeline range from 95 to 250 cm, and there is still very little snow below treeline.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Mostly cloudy. 2 to 4 mm of rain at treeline. 40 to 70 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 2 °C. Freezing level 1900 m.

Tuesday

Cloudy. 5 to 25 mm of precipitation as snow or rain at treeline. 50 to 80 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 1 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.

Wednesday

Mostly cloudy. 1 to 5 mm of precipitation as snow or rain at treeline. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 1 °C. Freezing level 1400 m.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy. 2 to 5 mm of precipitation as snow or rain at treeline. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.




More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for fresh storm slabs building throughout the day.
  • Loose avalanches may start small, but they can grow and push you into dangerous terrain.

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