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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 12th, 2012–Dec 13th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Columbia.

Confidence

Fair

Weather Forecast

A weak system will cross the region in the evening Thursday and  bring very light precipitations and light North West winds becoming moderate from the South West later.  Temperatures will stay cool for the entire period . Mostly cloudy with chances of flurries for Friday with light winds from the North West. Later Saturday, another upper trough is expected to spread moderate snow accumulations over the region with moderate winds from the South.

Avalanche Summary

Some small soft slabs and loose dry avalanches were skier triggered yesterday in steep convex terrain.

Snowpack Summary

20 cm of new snow fell from the recent storm with moderate winds creating touchy soft slabs at treeline and most likely thinker and harder windslabs in the alpine on Easterly aspects. Indeed, snowpack test showed easy result within the storm snow.  This new load is sitting on the Late November surface hoar layer now down around 100 cm and the early November crust down 200cm. Because of the stability tests variations (from no results to suddan planars), the limited quantity of observations and significant depth of those layers, they remain the primary concerns. 

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.