Spring Conditions. Sunny skies and very high freezing levels will increase the avalanche danger this weekend. The surface crust may break down rapidly if there is no re-freeze overnight.
Weather Forecast
Cloud overnight decreasing as moderate southerly winds develop as the ridge of high pressure builds. Clearing during the day on Saturday with light southerly winds and freezing levels at 2500 metres. Clear on Sunday with freezing levels rising up to at least 3000 metres and treeline temperatures around plus 10 degrees. Monday should be the warmest day with freezing levels at 3500 metres.
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches reported. Most commercial operations have closed for the season, and data is becoming sparse.
Snowpack Summary
The snow surface is currently going through a typical spring melt-freeze cycle on all aspects and at all elevations, except possibly high true-north slopes which could be holding onto cold snow. The strength (thickness) of the surface crust and how quickly it breaks down during the day are important factors to focus on. If the sun comes out, conditions may change rapidly and crusts may break down when exposed to strong solar radiation. The likelihood of wet slab avalanches releasing on a deeply buried crust or on the ground will increase as the forecast hot weather continues. High alpine shaded aspects may begin to see the effects of the high freezing levels over the weekend, resulting in loose wet avalanches of previously dry and cold snow.
Problems
Loose Wet
Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.
Cornices
Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.
Wet Slabs
Wet Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) that is generally moist or wet when the flow of liquid water weakens the bond between the slab and the surface below (snow or ground). They often occur during prolonged warming events and/or rain-on-snow events. Wet Slabs can be very unpredictable and destructive.