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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 21st, 2017–Feb 22nd, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Little Yoho.

Current conditions are some of the most dangerous for backcountry travelers. Natural avalanches are unlikely; thus the problem is not obvious - but human triggered avalanches are likely, and happening daily. Keep a wide margin of safety . . .

Weather Forecast

Temperatures falling overnight to reach -15 by Wednesday with highs around -10. Possibility of up to 10 cm of new snow on Wednesday, but this looks to be in eastern areas only. Return to sunny skies for Thursday.

Snowpack Summary

No new snow last 24-hr, but 25cm recent storm snow has formed isolated soft slabs near ridge crests in the alpine. Persistent problems remain with the lower half of the snowpack being weak and faceted especially in thin areas or near rocky outcrops. Cooler temperatures have helped to stabilize the snowpack below treeline but it is still very weak.

Avalanche Summary

Notable avalanches every day. A remotely triggered size 3 avalanche near Cirque peak on Sunday. On Monday, two large avalanches triggered by explosives in "the Elevator Shaft" at Lake Louise as well as a remote triggered size 2 in Kootenay Park. On Tuesday, skiers triggered a size 1.5 onto another group below in Lipalian 3 at Lake Louise.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.