Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 21st, 2014 8:57AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is below threshold. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada swerner, Avalanche Canada

Its looking more like winter! However, early season conditions and hazards exist. If you have been adventuring in the backcountry, we want your observations. Please send them our way to forecaster@avalanche.ca.

Summary

Confidence

Poor - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Finally, the weather pattern has changed!A Pacific frontal system moves through the Region bringing unsettled conditions with snow amounts near 10 cm at higher elevations. By Saturday, midday we could see and accumulated 15-25 cm. Mountain top winds will initially be strong from the south, switching to the northwest by Saturday afternoon. Freezing levels will remain at valley bottoms. Late Sunday another stormy system will reach the Interior bringing additional snowfall amounts.

Avalanche Summary

Currently there are no recent avalanche reports, however; there is enough snow at higher elevations (treeline and alpine) where certain avalanche problems may exist.

Snowpack Summary

Welcome to winter! Its that time of year where observations are limited and winter has been slow to start. The snowpack is thin and variable, early season conditions and hazards exist. Recent reports suggest that the total snowpack in the alpine is 80-100 cm. Pockets of wind slab may exist on leeward slopes at upper elevations. New snow near 15 cm has fallen on a series of weak surface crystals (crusts, surface hoar, facets). This new snow may have a poor bond to the previous surfaces. A solid crust that formed early November is buried below the surface around 30-40 cm down in many places at treeline and above. The new snow will hide early season hazards like crevasses, rocks, and stumps and gaining access to upper elevations is extremely challenging.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Pockets of wind slab may exist on leeward slopes and behind terrain features. Cracking and whumfing are indicators of unstable snow.
Use caution in lee areas in the alpine. Recent wind loading may have created wind slabs.>Early season hazards such as open crevasses, rocks, trees and stumps are likely hidden under the new snow.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Nov 22nd, 2014 2:00PM