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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 2nd, 2020–Jan 3rd, 2020

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Jasper.

The start of another storm is due to hit us this evening. Strong to extreme Southwest winds accompanied by 25-40cm will test the snowpack.

Weather Forecast

Tonight: Cloudy with scattered flurries. Precipitation: 5 cm. Alpine temperature: Low -17 C. southwest: 15 km/h.

Friday: 12cm, warming to -5 and accompanied by moderate SW winds gusting to 100km!

Sat & Sun 26cm expected with Moderate SW winds gusting to 70km.

Visit CAA's Mountain Weather Forecast for more specific details.

Snowpack Summary

An additional 9cm last night in the parkers area. Variable amounts of snowfall through the region, burying large surface hoar, present up to 2200m in sheltered areas. SW winds continue to created new wind slabs on lee features at treeline and above. The bottom of the snowpack consists of very pronounced facets, decomposing crusts and depth hoar.

Avalanche Summary

Several avalanches observed today on west aspects to size 2.5

Concerning results from snowpack tests in Southern forecast region around Mount Wilson. Moderate to hard sudden planar results at treeline on the weak basal depth hoar/facet layers.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.