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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 6th, 2015–Feb 7th, 2015

Alpine
Widespread avalanches certain.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Jasper.

The avalanche hazard is Extreme.  The Maligne Road and Icefields Parkway are closed.

Weather Forecast

An additional 30 mm of precipitation expected through Saturday with continued strong South winds.  Storm will tapper on Sunday with continued light precipitation on Monday.

Snowpack Summary

40 to 60 cm of storm snow has fallen with rain at lower elevations.  This new snow is sitting on surface hoar and/or Jan rain crust. Strong S winds are forming slabs on all lee aspects, cross loaded features and open areas.

Avalanche Summary

Currently experiencing an avalanche cycle at all elevations.

Confidence

on Saturday

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.