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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 30th, 2014–Mar 31st, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

Avalanche control is planned for the Icefields Parkway between Saskatchewan Crossing and Parker Ridge on Tuesday. Estimated road closure in this area is 1030 to 1600.

Weather Forecast

Snow continues on Monday with variable distribution up to 10cm and then tapers as a clearing trend moves in for Tuesday.  Wind mainly Southwesterly and light. Freezing levels to remain below 1600m and temps reaching a low of -16 overnight on Monday but warming quickly as the solar radiation is expected to be strong on Tuesday.

Snowpack Summary

Variable distribution of recent storm snow, with the deepest amounts in the 45cm range in the Columbia Icefields area. Minimal wind affect other than exposed areas at upper elevation. Feb10 interface is down 60-90cm and has been dormant recently. Lots of snow available for transport.

Avalanche Summary

Avalaunche control work in the Medicine Lake area today produced several size 2.5 slabs which ran to the lower third of the path and numerous loose dry slides to size 2.  Road patrols in the Columbia Icefields area had limited visibility but did report 1 sz 2 natural avalanche on a North aspect at treeline - 50-75cm deep and 50m wide.

Confidence

Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.