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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 28th, 2013–Apr 29th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

The stormy weather will continue on Monday.  The avalanche danger will be highest on windloaded alpine slopes.

Weather Forecast

Another low will move through Sunday night bring more snow and moderate to strong Westerlies, leaving  cool unstable air  in its wake.  A slow warming trend is expected to begin by mid-week, could it finally be spring?

Snowpack Summary

25-30 cm of moist storm snow is sitting on an isothermal snowpack at treeline.  Storm slabs 30-50 cm thick are on sitting on the April 25th melt freeze crust in the alpine.  Isothermal conditions below treeline that may have a weak melt freeze crust develop overnight.

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches observed on a patrol from Jasper to Saskatchewan Crossing with fair visibility

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Monday

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.