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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 16th, 2012–Dec 17th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Weather Forecast

A frontal system is expected to come through on Monday with a slight rise in temperatures and only limited snow flurries. Ridgetop winds will increase to moderate/strong starting from the South and shifting to the West by late afternoon. Tuesday will have sunny periods with cooler temperatures.

Snowpack Summary

There is great variation in depth and location of the wind slabs. These slabs appear to have bonded well to the old snow surface, with no new avalanches observed in the last week. Cornices are well developed. The raincrust laminate down in the lower 1/3 of snowpack is deteriorating into a facetted layer and did not respond to field tests. 

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been observed since Monday Dec 10.  Wind slabs appear to have bonded well to the old snow surface.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.