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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 24th, 2015–Mar 25th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Fast travel conditions at the moment. Start your trip early and finish early to avoid the destabilizing effects of solar radiation and daytime heating.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Another cloudy day is expected on Wednesday with strong west winds and freezing levels near 1900m. A warming trend is forecast for Thursday and Friday with very high freezing levels and the possibility of mixed snow/rain.

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new was observed or reported today.

Snowpack Summary

2 to 4cm of new snow overnight with up to 10cm of storm snow at treeline. This storm snow overlies a variety of previous surfaces including wind slabs, sun crust and rain crust at lower elevations. Recent cool temperatures have solidified the crusts and these are now supportive to the weight of a skier. Solar radiation is intense at this time of year and even brief clear periods are causing the surface snow to become moist on solar aspects. Wind slabs are still prominent in lee and cross-loaded features in the alpine and these reach down into isolated upper treeline terrain. The basal weak layers persist and concern remains for triggering this layer in steep and shallow snowpack features.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.