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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 24th, 2012–Feb 25th, 2012

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

10-15cm of new snow is forecast over the next 24hrs with moderate to strong SW winds. Dangerous avalanche conditions persist as forecasters encountered shooting cracks failing down 40-50cm as the traveled in open areas on Friday.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Up to 15cm of new snow is expected over the next 24hrs with the majority of this new snow forecast to fall throughout the evening on Friday. Winds are expected to also increase into the moderate to strong range out of the SW as the upper trough pushes through the forecast area.

Avalanche Summary

Lots of loose sluffing up to size 1 out of steep unskiable terrain. 1 Skier controlled avalanche sz 1 on an E aspect at 2200m. Slab was 5m wide, ran 25m and failed on the 0213SH interface.

Snowpack Summary

0213SH layer down 40-50cm at treeline. In the Fishermans ridge area, SH was 10mm big and standing up tall. CTE(2)SP down 40cm on this interface. Mid pack well settled. Lots of cracking and settlements while traveling along ridge crest. Total HS at this area was 160cm.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.