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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 15th, 2015–Jan 16th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Winds picked up into the strong range today at higher elevations.  Sheletered areas at treeline are the most likely areas to find good skiing.  Best of luck to finding an untracked area though.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Light snowfalls expected throughout the day with temperatures cooling slightly and winds remaining strong out of SW.

Avalanche Summary

No new Natural avalanche activity. 

Snowpack Summary

Surface hoar growth on all aspects up to 2300m.  This surface hoar is up to sz 10mm in some areas and WILL be a problem persistent layer when its buried.  The Dec 13th interface is down 30-40cm and continues to produce moderate sheers on a layer of facets over this crust.  This crust, the Dec 13, is only being found up to 2250m-ish.  Below this the mid pack is generally well settled with the 1106cr down 1m.  Most alpine terrain is wind hammerred.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.