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Avalanche Forecast

Feb 10th, 2012–Feb 11th, 2012
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Columbia.

Confidence

Good - -1

Weather Forecast

A firmly embedded ridge of high pressure over Alberta seems to be causing systems to fizzle once they reach the Columbia Mountains. Conditions will be mostly cloudy for the forecast period with the possibility of trace amounts of snowfall each day. Winds will be light and northwesterly with alpine temperatures trending from -7.0 on Saturday to -13.0 by Monday.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity to report.

Snowpack Summary

In general, the upper snowpack is now well settled and riders are shredding pretty much everything. Very warm alpine temperatures from last weekend melted snow surfaces and a crust now exists to ridge top on solar aspects. There are reports of wind slabs in the alpine that developed earlier in the week. My feeling is that they are not widespread and probably gaining strength. Deeper weaknesses in the snowpack are less of a concern; however, in the southern end of the region there is still talk of basal facets as some operators are avoiding thin and rocky alpine features. This represents a very low probability-high consequence scenario. Large cornices are also widespread in the alpine. A dusting of new snow now sits on weak snow crystals that developed over the past week (surface hoar/crusts/facets). This will be the big thing to watch as the overlying slab evolves.

Avalanche Problems

Cornices

Large and unsupported cornices exist in the alpine. Failing cornices are destructive by themselves and have potential to trigger avalanches on the slope below.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 6