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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 25th, 2013–Mar 26th, 2013
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Columbia.

Confidence

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Weather Forecast

The ridge of High pressure is expected to continue to influence the interior ranges for the next few days. As the ridge weakens we may see high cloud reducing the exposure to strong solar radiation. Nights are expected to continue to be clear and cool. Freezing levels in the North should rise during the day to about 1800 metres, and to about 2000 metres in the South. Some light precipitation may start to move in from the coast on Thursday afternoon.

Avalanche Summary

Cornice failures continue to be reported from several parts of the region. There were also a couple of dry slab and loose dry avalanches reported from alpine elevations. There was a skier accidental size 2.0 avalanche on Sunday in an adjacent region (Glacier National Park), that resulted in one fatality.

Snowpack Summary

Cornices are reported to be very large and weakly bonded. Natural cornice falls are a concern during daytime warming. Cornices may also be triggered easily by travelling near them. Slopes with corniced entrances, or exposed to cornice falls should be avoided with these conditions. Dry windslabs may be found on Northwest thru Northeast aspects at higher elevations. These wind slabs are reported to be improving their bond to the old surface, but may continue to be triggered by skiers and riders. Loose moist or wet snow may fall naturally out of very steep terrain on sun exposed slopes. Small loose snow avalanches may trigger the recent storm snow slab where it is moist from solar heating and sitting on a planar sliding surface like an old sun or rain crust. The weak layer of buried surface hoar from March 10th is down more than a metre in most places, and is giving variable results in snow profile tests. The lower snowpack consists of well bonded layers that are well settled and strong.

Avalanche Problems

Cornices

Recent cornice growth is very large and weakly bonded. Large cornice falls may occur naturally or may be triggered by people travelling near to them.
Do not travel on slopes that are exposed to cornices overhead.>Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.>

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 6

Storm Slabs

Pockets of windslab from localized wind, including downflowing katabatic wind, could be rider triggered. Periods of strong solar radiation may cause loose moist or wet snow to fall out of very steep terrain.
Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet.>Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

The March 10th weak layer of surface hoar is buried down more than a metre in most places. Large loads like cornice falls may trigger this deeply buried weak layer.
Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 3 - 6