Avalanche forecast

Sawtooth & Western Smoky Mtns

Sawtooth Avalanche Center
View on map

Avalanche danger

Thu
Alpine
4 · High
Treeline
4 · High
Below
3 · Considerable
Out of date — this forecast expired 3 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Natural and human-triggered avalanches large enough to bury people are near certain to occur. Stay off of and out from below steep slopes, especially where the wind has formed drifts. 

 

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Certain
    Size
    1.5–2

    Avoid all wind-loaded avalanche terrain. Expect to trigger 1-3 ft thick slabs where the wind drifted snow. Natural avalanches are possible. Both the size and likelihood of avalanches will increase as you move up in elevation and as today's storm progresses. You may find wind slabs in middle elevation terrain that is typically sheltered from the wind. In the steep, craggy Sawtooth Mtns, slabs also commonly form on the aprons below cliffs and couloirs.

    Many of the wind slabs overlie well-developed weak layers, resulting in avalanches that could break easily, wider than expected, or above you. 

    If the snow surface becomes stiffer, you've found a wind slab. Cracks shooting out from your skis or boards are an obvious sign of instability. Watch for ripples, dunes, and fresh cornices, signs the wind has been at work. 

    Wind Slab avalanches could "step down", triggering the much larger Persistent Slab avalanches described below. 

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    2–3

    Huge, destructive avalanches over 3 feet thick are likely in wind-loaded terrain and possible in sheltered areas. Snowfall and wind-driven snow is overloading weak faceted snow near the ground. The likelihood of triggering one of these slides will increase throughout the day as the storm progresses.

    You may or may not observe obvious warning signs like snowpack cracking or collapsing before triggering a slide. Avalanches could be triggered remotely, from gentler terrain below, above, or to the sides of steep slopes.  Persistent Slab avalanches can break wider and higher on slopes (above you!) than you might expect.

Avalanche Discussion

Stay out of the way until the proverbial dust, or powder clouds, settle. The combination of 1-2 feet of snowfall and strong winds is too much for our weak snowpack to handle. Avalanches could release near the old snow surface or near the ground; in either case, the slides will be large enough to bury people.    

If you decide to head into the mountains today, recognize that avalanches can release naturally or be triggered from flat terrain a long distance from the slope. Enjoy the fresh snow and great skiing and riding conditions, but be careful about the slopes you choose to ski or ride as well as what's above you.

Regions covered