Avalanche forecast

Sawtooth & Western Smoky Mtns

Sawtooth Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Wed
Alpine
4 · High
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate
Out of date — this forecast expired 9 months ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Wet, windy, warm weather is creating very dangerous conditions. Destructive natural and human triggered avalanches are very likely. Avoid steep slopes where the wind is drifting snow, and any slopes where steady rain falls on fresh snowfall. 

Avoid all avalanche terrain where the snowpack is over about 2 feet thick in the northern Sawtooth Mtns; this area will receive the most snowfall and rain through Wednesday morning. 

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Very Likely
    Size
    2–3

    What and where is it?  Since Saturday, we and other observers saw several natural and human triggered slab avalanches big enough to bury people (view Avalanches, view Observations). Some avalanches were over 2 feet thick and up to 1000 feet wide. Today's snowfall and wind-drifting will continue overloading the snowpack, building thick + dense slabs above weak, faceted snow and crusts on many middle and upper elevation slopes.  All of the observed avalanches occurred on N-NE-E-SE facing slopes above 9000'. Most occurred in obviously wind-loaded terrain. Today's weather will create unstable slopes both below and above 9000', on other aspects, and in terrain sheltered from the wind. 

    How can you recognize it?  Triggering a large avalanche is most likely where 1) the wind has formed drifts or stiffened the surface and 2) old, weak snow exists below the recent wind-drifted snow. Be on the lookout for stiff, smooth pillows of snow on the more sheltered sides of ridgelines and large terrain features. You can use your boots, hands, or poles to quickly check for "old snow"—crusts and / or weak, sugary facets—beneath the more recent storm or wind-driven snow. 

    How can you manage it? Avoid steep, wind-loaded slopes and the runouts of large avalanche paths. In the craggy Sawtooth Mtns, natural sluffs and small slides will trigger some larger avalanches in cirques and bowls below large cliff faces. Cracks shooting out from you and "whumpfing" sounds as the snowpack collapses are red flags that indicate unstable conditions. Avoid all steep slopes where you experience these obvious signs of instability. You may be able to trigger avalanches remotely—from gentler terrain above, below, or to the sides of steep slopes.

    (12/8/2025) Large avalanches on E facing upper elevation slopes on McDonald Peak in the southern Sawtooth Mtns. 

    Photo: Ben VandenBos

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Very Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Wet loose avalanches will release on slopes where steady rain soaks the recent snowfall. These slides frequently release on their own (naturally), and you could also trigger them. While these avalanches are not as large as the slabs described above, some slides could be large enough to bury people. These avalanches may"flank out" and grow wider as they move downslope. 

    Where steady rain falls on fresh snow, the prudent move is to avoid all steep slopes and the areas below large avalanche paths. We expect this problem to peak tonight and Wednesday morning as snow-rain lines rise to near or above 9000'. 

Regions covered