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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 31st, 2017–Feb 1st, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Lizard-Flathead.

The best and safest riding may be in sheltered terrain around treeline.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: Overcast skies with possible sunny breaks / Moderate northeast winds / Alpine temperatures of about -19Thursday: Clear skies / Light ridgetop winds / Alpine temperatures of about -19Friday: Clear skies / Light ridgetop winds / Alpine temperatures of about -8

Avalanche Summary

Recent avalanche activity in the region has been reported as natural and skier triggered wind slabs up to size 2 in the alpine and at tree line.

Snowpack Summary

Recent light snowfall has been redistributed into thin wind slabs by strong winds. In general, snow surfaces are best described as heavily wind affected with scouring and sastrugi formation noted on many terrain features. Crusts can be found near the surface on solar aspects at high elevations and on all aspects below 1600m. There have been isolated reports of a surface hoar layer from early January buried about 40 cm deep in sheltered areas, although not much is known about its current reactivity. About 70cm below the surface, you'll find sugary facet crystals which formed during December's cold snap. Although avalanches are currently unexpected at this interface, this layer could come back to life with with warming, significant loading or a large trigger at a thin spot.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.