Avalanche forecast

Salmon River Mountains

Payette Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Sat
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate
Out of date — this forecast expired 5 months ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Wet loose avalanches will become likely on steep, south-facing slopes, especially on melt-freeze crusts. Pay attention to rollerballs and pinwheels, indicating new snow is becoming wet and unstable. Watch for wind slabs 1-2 feet thick on east-facing slopes, above 7,500 feet. Direct sunshine will consolidate recent soft snow into a sensitive slab today. Stick to shaded aspects, away from wind-affected snow, to find the safest conditions.

The last avalanche forecast of the season will be published on Sunday, April 5th.

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2

    By this afternoon, the spring sun may be in full force on the snowpack. Snow totals over the northern mountains ranged from 1 to 2 feet over the past several days. All this new snow may see sunshine today for the first time. If the new snow receives direct solar radiation, expect loose snow avalanche activity to rise. Loose snow avalanches will likely begin dry earlier in the day and progress to wet loose the longer the sun shines. 

    These avalanches typically begin at a single point (such as rocks, cliffs, or trees) and travel downhill slowly, picking up snow and momentum. Wet loose avalanches can pack a serious punch in steep terrain. Be mindful of terrain traps like gullies or depressions, where wet, loose avalanche debris can pile up quickly and deeply. If you're observing signs of the new snow becoming wet and unstable (shedding off solar objects like rocks, trees, cliffs, or rollerballs/pinwheels), it's time to switch to a different aspect that's not receiving direct sunshine.

    Underneath the recent storm snow, there's a thick melt-freeze crust across multiple aspects and elevations. Wet loose avalanches sliding on top of these crusts could become dangerous on steep south-facing slopes as the snow becomes wet and unstable. Below 6,500 feet, wet snow from recent rain likely sits underneath recent storm snow. Wet loose avalanches running into the lower elevation could entrain recently buried wet snow and become large. Be heads up around slopes steeper than 35 degrees if the sun is destabilizing the new snow.

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Over the last few days, elevations above 7,500 feet in the northern mountains picked up around 1-2 feet of snow (2-3" SWE). This new snow was accompanied by westerly winds gusting 25-35 MPH. WSW winds were blowing during the heaviest snowfall. Yesterday, winds shifted out of the NW. Today, the wind direction will migrate back to the SW this afternoon. As Bob Dylan said, "You don't need to be a weatherman to know which way the wind blows". With a frequently shifting wind direction, be on the lookout for wind slabs 1-2 feet deep above 7,500 feet, across all aspects.

    Strong winds and local terrain features can alter the prevailing wind direction. Pay attention to cross-loading and wind-loading on unsuspecting slopes. Wind slabs will be most sensitive just below corniced ridgelines. Look for clues of wind-affected snow, such as drifts, dunes, pillows, and freshly built cornices. Watch for signs of instability, such as shooting cracks in your skis, board, or sled. If you're observing these signs, find another aspect away from wind-drifted snow.

    Look for clues of wind slabs, such as dunes, drifts, pillows, or freshly built cornices.

Avalanche Discussion

When paying attention to changes in the snow and avalanche conditions, it's all about the weather. Today is no different. The determining factor today is the cloud cover. Radiation drives most of the changes we see in the snow. If the mid-level clouds break earlier in the day, expect wet loose avalanche activity to rapidly increase in size and sensitivity. If cloud cover remains throughout the afternoon, wet loose avalanche activity could be much less than anticipated. The northern mountains picked up 1-2 feet of snow (2-3"SWE) over the past several days. Rain fell up to 6,500 feet earlier this week, before our recent storm cycle. Above 6,500, larger avalanche activity will most likely be in the form of wind slabs of newly-drifted snow. Despite the calendar reading the month of April, you'll find winter-like snow and avalanche conditions in the mountains today. It’s time to turn the avalanche brain on once again. Maintain safe travel habits such as cautious route-finding, traveling one at a time, and carrying the proper gear.

This Friday, join us for the End-of-Season Shebang at Toll Station Pizza from 6-8 PM in McCall. Come support your local avalanche center as we wrap up the season and move into Spring.

If you're out in the mountains, submit an observation on our website or through the Avy App. Tag us #payetteavy

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