Avalanche forecast

Central Sierra Nevada

Sierra Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Tue
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate
Out of date — this forecast expired last year. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Today's sun and warm weather will create unstable wet loose snow on many slopes and weaken overhanging snow (cornices) along ridges. Exiting avalanche terrain and moving to lower-angle slopes once the snow feels wet and staying away from areas with overhanging snow can reduce your exposure to today's avalanche problems. 

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Strong March sun and warm temperatures will quickly melt through whatever refreeze occurred last night. Once this happens, avalanches of wet loose snow will be possible. Slopes that face the sun directly (E-SE-S-SW-W) will hold more wet snow, but the sun is high enough in the sky that wet snow will also form on more northerly-facing slopes. Wet loose avalanches could entrain enough snow to knock a person over or push them into a terrain trap that magnifies the consequences of an avalanche. On long, steep slopes, wet loose avalanches will entrain more snow as they slide downhill, and some could grow large enough to bury or injure a person.

    Snow conditions will get wet and mushy very quickly today. Sinking into boot-top deep wet snow, roller balls, and pinwheels can indicate larger, wet loose avalanches may soon occur. Once the snow starts feeling wet and unsupportable, it's time to move away from avalanche terrain onto less steep slopes.

    (3/23/2025)

    These skier-triggered wet loose avalanches occurred on the Fireplug in the Mt. Rose backcountry. While small, they still entrained enough snow to knock one of the skiers off his feet and carry him downslope for about 50 ft. 

  • Cornices

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    The large overhanging cornices along many ridgelines may start out weaker today since temperatures remained above freezing last night. Warm weather and strong sun today will continue to melt the snow holding them to the ridges, and cornice failures may be possible today. Falling cornices will become more possible each day that temperatures remain above freezing. Significant uncertainty exists about exactly when specific cornices will fail. If a person does trigger a cornice failure, they could take a long fall and/or get crushed by large cornice pieces. 

    Cornice collapses almost always surprise people by breaking farther back from the edge and/or wider than expected. If your route takes you along a corniced ridge, keep exposed rocks or trees between you and the cornice edge. Also, be wary of traveling on slopes under cornices. It's best to avoid these slopes, but if you have to travel on them, spend as little time as possible doing so.

    (3/23/2025)

    Many drooping cornices existed, with only a few small previous failures. Blue Lakes area, Carson Pass.

    Photo: Sierra Avalanche Center

Regions covered