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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 29th, 2017–Mar 30th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

Forecast warm weather and potential sunny periods on Thursday and Friday will keep the avalanche danger elevated

Confidence

Moderate - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Weather Forecast

THURSDAY: Cloudy with sunny periods / Light north wind / Alpine temperature -4 / Freezing level 1500mFRIDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Light west wind / Alpine temperature -3 / Freezing level 1600mSATURDAY: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries / Light to moderate southwest wind / Alpine temperature -1 / Freezing level 1700m

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday there were reports of both natural and explosives controlled storm slab avalanches 20-40cm deep to size 2 on southerly and northwest aspects at tree line. There were also reports of skier controlled avalanches at tree line to size 1.5 on east an north aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Unsettled weather over the past week has brought roughly 50-80 cm of snow to the region. Periodic high freezing levels and solar exposure over the same period formed a variety crusts within the storm snow at both lower elevations and on solar aspects. This all overlies a rain crust that formed mid-March at all elevations. At upper elevations, above 2100m approximately, the late and mid-February persistent weak layers (100-150cm down) and basal facets in shallow snowpack areas may still exist.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.