Avalanche forecast

Mount Shasta

Mount Shasta Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Sun
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate
Out of date — this forecast expired 5 months ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Heavy snow and strong winds will create dangerous avalanche conditions as the day progresses. Steep, wind-drifted slopes near and above treeline present the greatest hazard. Stick to mellower, sheltered terrain for better visibility and safer travel, but watch for shallowly buried obstacles under the fresh snow.  

Avalanche problems

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1.5–2.5

    Large and potentially dangerous slabs of new snow will build throughout the day as new snow accumulates - over a foot may stack up by this afternoon near treeline on Mount Shasta. The deepest slabs will form where strong southerly winds deposit snow on west through north through east aspects, especially below ridgelines and in gully features. Avalanches may fail at the new/old snow interface or on density changes within the storm snow. 

    Natural avalanches are possible, especially in steep (>35 degrees), wind-drifted terrain near and above treeline. Consider avoiding travel on or underneath these slopes. 

    Human-triggered avalanches are likely. Carefully evaluate the snowpack and monitor new snow totals as you move through the backcountry. Watch for red flags like blowing snow and cracking to alert you to instability. Stick to mellow, sheltered slopes for better visibility and to reduce your avalanche exposure - but watch out for shallowly buried rocks, trees, and stumps, which are everywhere under the new snow. Ski and ride with caution. 

    (2/17/2026)

    Watch for signs of instability, like shooting cracks, as you move through the backcountry. 

    Photo from a February storm - Human-triggered shooting crack and small storm slab on Gray Butte.

    Photo: Christian Jordan

Avalanche Discussion

Today is the final forecast of the season. Tomorrow, we will issue a spring statement. The dynamism of spring has been on full display in recent days. If you continue to venture into the backcountry, it will be important to keep tabs on conditions. The weather, observations, and climbing pages on the website will be great resources moving forward. 

Each snowflake is unique and every winter is singular. Warm temperatures defined the 2025/2026 winter season. Three distinct stormy periods delivered bountiful snow to the highest elevations and plenty of avalanches. After three stellar winters, we wrap up this season slightly below average for precipitation, well below average for snowpack, and wishing for more powder turns. 

Thank you for your endless support and stoke this winter. We'll be back with daily forecasts this fall. In the meantime, see you in the mountains.

Climbing: It's not a great weekend for a summit attempt. Heavy snow, whiteout conditions, negative wind chills, thunderstorms, and firm, icy surfaces with slide-for-life-potential are on the hazard list. The mountain will be there when more favorable weather returns. Check the updated Climbing Advisory for more details and feel free to give us a call if you have questions about your trip - 530-926-9614. 

TODAY: Saturday, April 11th - End of Season Community Appreciation Party at Mountain Medics, 2600 Spring Hill Road. Doors open at 4pm. FREE food, FREE drink, FREE music. We hope to see you there!

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